ERTEN TARIM SINCE 1980 YEAR 46

AGRICULTURAL WEATHER

Kaş weather and frost risk

Tonight's expected low in Kaş is 17.1 °C (at 07:00); frost risk: none. Below: the hourly forecast, 7-day rain and wind, and the best hours for spraying.

District: Kaş

Elevation: 29 m

Tonight between 18:00 and 09:00

No frost expected

Night temperatures stay clearly above the frost threshold.

17.1 °C
lowest around 07:00
53%
Cloud cover
20
Wind km/s

Rain next 24 hours

Rain expected

2.9 mm of rain is expected over the next 24 hours. Harvest and spray timing should be reviewed; produce picked wet deteriorates faster in storage and transit.

2.9 mm
Expected total
95%
Peak probability
12:00
Starts
7
Wet hours

Kaş — Next 24 hours

12:00 24° 23% 0.1 mm
13:00 25° 75%
14:00 22° 93% 0.6 mm
15:00 22° 95% 0.6 mm
16:00 22° 90% 0.5 mm
17:00 22° 85% 0.6 mm
18:00 21° 68% 0.3 mm
19:00 21° 48% 0.2 mm
20:00 21° 50%
21:00 21° 38%
22:00 20° 40%
23:00 20° 38%
00:00 20° 18%
01:00 19° 13%
02:00 19° 13%
03:00 18° 5%
04:00 18° 0%
05:00 17° 0%
06:00 17° 0%
07:00 17° 0%
08:00 18° 0%
09:00 22° 0%
10:00 23° 0%
11:00 24° 0%

under 25% · low 25–60% · possible over 60% · likely

Bar height shows the chance of rain in that hour. When 0.1 mm or more is expected, the amount is printed below the bar.

Kaş — Spraying window

Suitable 20:00 – 00:00

4 hours uninterrupted

Delta T is the gap between dry-bulb and wet-bulb temperature. It shows how much a droplet evaporates before it reaches the target: too high and the spray evaporates and drifts as vapour, too low and the droplet stays suspended instead of settling.

12:00 4.3 7 km/s Not suitable rain — wash-off
13:00 5.5 11 km/s Not suitable rain — wash-off
14:00 2.0 7 km/s Not suitable rain — wash-off
15:00 2.0 3 km/s Not suitable rain — wash-off
16:00 3.1 9 km/s Not suitable rain — wash-off
17:00 3.4 11 km/s Not suitable rain — wash-off
18:00 2.8 10 km/s Not suitable rain — wash-off
19:00 2.8 9 km/s Not suitable rain — wash-off
20:00 2.5 9 km/s Suitable
21:00 2.5 9 km/s Suitable
22:00 2.2 8 km/s Suitable
23:00 2.0 7 km/s Suitable
00:00 1.8 7 km/s Marginal droplets stay suspended
01:00 1.5 5 km/s Marginal droplets stay suspended
02:00 1.2 5 km/s Marginal droplets stay suspended
03:00 1.2 5 km/s Marginal droplets stay suspended
04:00 1.1 7 km/s Marginal droplets stay suspended
05:00 1.0 8 km/s Marginal droplets stay suspended
06:00 1.2 8 km/s Marginal droplets stay suspended
07:00 1.2 8 km/s Marginal droplets stay suspended
08:00 2.0 8 km/s Suitable
09:00 3.7 1 km/s Marginal still air — inversion risk
10:00 3.8 6 km/s Suitable
11:00 4.3 8 km/s Suitable

Delta T °C · Wind km/s

Spraying thresholds

Delta T 2 – 8 °C
Ideal range. Droplets live long enough to reach the target.
Delta T 8 – 10 °C
Marginal. Workable with coarse droplets and low pressure; fine sprays are not advised.
Delta T above 10 °C
Droplets evaporate before reaching the target and the product drifts away as vapour. Do not apply.
Delta T below 2 °C
Air is saturated. Fine droplets stay airborne instead of settling, raising drift risk.
Wind 3 – 15 km/h
Ideal range. Drift starts above 15 km/h; above 20 km/h do not apply.
Wind below 3 km/h
Still air is not safe: under a clear sky a temperature inversion forms and fine droplets travel sideways instead of settling.
Rain
If 0.2 mm or more is expected during the hour of application or the two hours after it, the product washes off.

Thresholds follow the Montana State University Extension guidance on pesticide drift. Wet-bulb temperature is computed with the Stull (2011) approximation.

Kaş — Seven-day forecast

Scroll the table sideways

Seven-day forecast — Kaş
Day Low High Rain Probability Wind sust./gust Warning
27.09 Sunday 19.8 °C 25.2 °C 2.9 mm 95% 11/31 km/s Rain Windy
28.09 Monday 17.1 °C 25.7 °C 0.0 mm 18% 11/24 km/s —
29.09 Tuesday 20.8 °C 26.9 °C 0.0 mm 25% 12/27 km/s —
30.09 Wednesday 19.1 °C 24.2 °C 2.1 mm 70% 9/35 km/s Rain Windy
01.10 Thursday 17.6 °C 22.4 °C 4.1 mm 82% 7/24 km/s Rain
02.10 Friday 19.1 °C 22.0 °C 5.6 mm 45% 17/30 km/s Rain Windy
03.10 Saturday 18.0 °C 21.3 °C 5.6 mm 33% 8/21 km/s Rain

Rain

Total rainfall of 2.9 mm expected (95% probability). Harvest planning, spray timing and storage of wet produce may be affected.

Windy

Sustained wind 11 km/h, gusts 31 km/h. Below the damage threshold, but spray drift, open greenhouse vents and young seedlings are affected.

General sensitivity thresholds

These are widely accepted reference ranges in the sector; they vary with variety, growth stage and the position of the orchard.

Greenhouse vegetables (tomato, pepper, aubergine, cucumber)
Chilling injury can occur between 0 and 2 °C even without frost, leaving marks on leaves and fruit.
Citrus (lemon, orange, mandarin)
Fruit damage generally begins below −2 °C. Lemon is the most sensitive of the group; tree age and fruit maturity are decisive.
Fruit trees in blossom or new growth
Blossom can be damaged between −1 and −2 °C. The same tree tolerates far lower temperatures while dormant.
Leafy vegetables (lettuce, broccoli, cabbage)
Tolerate brief light frost; prolonged frost damages leaf margins.
Rain before harvest
Cracking in cherry and plum; prolonged leaf wetness raises fungal disease risk in tomato and pepper. Rain shortly after spraying reduces effectiveness.
Storm
Spray drift starts above 15 km/h sustained wind. Fruit drop becomes likely at 50 km/h gusts; above 70 km/h, greenhouse film and support structures are at risk.

What this page is and is not

These values come from weather forecast models: they are predictions, not measurements, and they can be wrong. The frost assessment is a simple calculation based on temperature, cloud cover and wind — it does not know whether your orchard sits in a hollow or on a ridge, your soil moisture, or how hardy your variety is. Two plots in the same district can differ by several degrees. Decisions about heating, covering or spraying should be made with your own measurements and your agronomist, not from the figure shown here.

Source: Open-Meteo forecast models